A stochastic approach for monthly streamflow forecast

Authors

  • SR PURI Meteorological Office, New Delhi
  • SN KATHURIA Meteorological Office, New Delhi
  • DS UPADHYAY Meteorological Office, New Delhi
  • SURENDRA KUMAR Meteorological Office, New Delhi

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.54302/mausam.v39i1.3188

Abstract

A multiplicative seasonal ARIMA model of order (0, 1, 1) X (0, 1, 1) has been applied for the prediction of monthly flow (x) in Sutlej at Bhakra dam site, using 40 years (1925-64) discharge data.

The accuracy of prediction has been tested by using seven years (1965-71) observations. The root mean square error for the forecast period was calculated. It is found that the root mean square error varies from 3 per cent 1n December to about 43 per cent In September.

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Published

01-01-1988

How to Cite

[1]
S. PURI, S. KATHURIA, D. UPADHYAY, and S. . KUMAR, “A stochastic approach for monthly streamflow forecast”, MAUSAM, vol. 39, no. 1, pp. 65–70, Jan. 1988.

Issue

Vol. 39 No. 1 (1988): MAUSAM

Section

Shorter Contribution

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