Relationship between tropospheric thickness anomalies and Indian summer monsoon rainfall

Abstract

ABSTRACT .The tropospheric mean monthly thickness anomalies of northern Indian stations of selected layers for the months April to July for a 28 years (1968-95) period have been analysed. The thickness anomalies of April and May exhibit significant persistence through July. Also the thickness anomalies of different layers for the months May-July are found to have generally significant (5% to 0.1% level) linear correlations with the succeeding all India seasonal monsoon rainfall. Out of different layers and all the months analysed, the thickness anomalies of 850-300 and 850-100 hPa layers for May are found to have maximum correlations (significant at 0.1% level). From linear and multiple regression results, 850-300 hPa thickness anomaly is seen to be a useful predictor for long range prediction of Indian monsoon rainfall.