An objective method of Forecasting Pentad Rainfall anomaly in Konkan coast during July

Authors

  • JAGADISH SHUKLA

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.54302/mausam.v18i3.4618

Abstract

The contingency technique has been applied to forecast the pentad rainfall over Konkan coast in the month of July. From the 700.mb level 5-day mean and 1-day mean charts, antecedent to abnormal and subnormal, rainfall over Konkan coast, suitable predictor parameters have been obtained which are statistically significant. Using these predictors and pentad rainfall being the predict and, contingency tables have been prepared in the form of final forecast scheme, The technique has been evolved on the basis .of 5-day mean and l day mean 700.mb contour charts for over-lapping pentads for the period 1957-1961. The independent data of 1962-1963 has been used for verification. The method has shown a skill score of 51 per cent.

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Published

01-07-1967

How to Cite

[1]
J. . SHUKLA, “An objective method of Forecasting Pentad Rainfall anomaly in Konkan coast during July”, MAUSAM, vol. 18, no. 3, pp. 363–366, Jul. 1967.

Issue

Vol. 18 No. 3 (1967): MAUSAM

Section

Shorter Contribution

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