Semi quantitative forecasts for Baghmati/Adhwara Group of rivers/Kamala Balan catchments by synoptic analogue technique
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.54302/mausam.v61i3.836Keywords:
Synoptic, Catchments, Quantitative precipitation forecast (QPF), Mean rainfall, Frequency, Range, Seasonal trough, Homogeneous, Rainstorm, Vigorous, Active, OscillationAbstract
An attempt has been made to issue semi-quantitative precipitation forecasts for Baghmati/Adhwara Group of rivers/Kamala-Balan catchments based upon 22 years data (1982-2003). The study reveals that it is possible to issue semi-quantitative precipitation forecast with confidence. Local topography and its steep gradient on Indo-Nepal Border are main factors that give birth to severe floods during south west monsoon and pose problems to Darbhanga City.
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