QPF Model for lower Yamuna catchment, synoptic analogue method

Authors

  • MEHFOOZ ALI Flood Meteorological Office, Agra, U.P., India
  • U. P. SINGH India Meteorological Department New Delhi, India
  • D. JOARDAR India Meteorological Department New Delhi, India

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.54302/mausam.v62i1.199

Keywords:

AAP, QPF, Synoptic analogue model, Rain storms, Yamuna, Catchment, Flood, Ranges

Abstract

The paper formulates a synoptic analogue model for issuing Quantitative Precipitation Forecast (QPF) for Lower Yamuna Catchment (LYC) based upon eleven years data (1998-2008) during southwest monsoon season. The results so derived were verified with realized Average Areal Precipitation (AAP) for the corresponding synoptic situation during 2009 southwest monsoon season. The performance of the model was observed Percentage Correct (PC) up to 86 % and for extreme events showed 100% correct with Heidke Skill Score (HSS) value 0.9. The experience during south west monsoon 2009 has shown that Synoptic analogue model can produce 24 hours advance QPF with accuracy and greater skill to facilitate the flood forecasters of Central Water Commission.

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Published

01-01-2011

How to Cite

[1]
M. . ALI, U. P. . SINGH, and D. JOARDAR, “QPF Model for lower Yamuna catchment, synoptic analogue method”, MAUSAM, vol. 62, no. 1, pp. 27–40, Jan. 2011.

Issue

Vol. 62 No. 1 (2011): MAUSAM

Section

Research Papers

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