QPF model for Sabarmati basin based on Synoptic analogue method

Authors

  • KAMALJIT RAY Meteorological Centre, Ahmedabad, India
  • B.N. JOSHI Meteorological Centre, Ahmedabad, India
  • I.M. VASOYA Meteorological Centre, Ahmedabad, India
  • N.S. DARJI Meteorological Centre, Ahmedabad, India
  • L.A. GANDHI Meteorological Centre, Ahmedabad, India

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.54302/mausam.v63i4.415

Keywords:

AAP, QPF, Synoptic analogue model, Sabarmati

Abstract

The paper formulates a synoptic analogue model for issuing Quantitative Precipitation Forecast (QPF) for Sabarmati basin based on 10 years data (2000-2009) during southwest monsoon period. The model was verified with the actual Average Areal Precipitation (AAP) for the corresponding synoptic situations during 2010.The performance of the model were observed Percentage Correct (PC) up to 71%. The cases out by one or two stage were due to variation in the intensity of the system especially upper air circulation (S3) over the basin. The synoptic analogue model was able to generate accurate QPF 24 hrs in advance to facilitate flood forecasters of Central Water Commission.

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Published

01-10-2012

How to Cite

[1]
K. . RAY, B. . JOSHI, I. . VASOYA, N. . DARJI, and L. . GANDHI, “QPF model for Sabarmati basin based on Synoptic analogue method : ”, MAUSAM, vol. 63, no. 4, pp. 565–572, Oct. 2012.

Issue

Section

Research Papers